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Ye Fan, Southwest Securities: In 2025, the upward trend of domestic economy will continue, and it is estimated that the annual RRR will be lowered by about 100bp. The Central Economic Work Conference will be held in Beijing from December 11th to 12th. Ye Fan, chief economist of Southwest Securities, said that in 2025, the domestic economy will continue to stabilize and upward under the policy. From the structural point of view, infrastructure and manufacturing investment are expected to remain the main support items for domestic investment next year, and the decline in real estate investment will gradually narrow; Domestic demand is expected to play a stronger role in stimulating the economy than external demand, and domestic residents' consumption is expected to continue to pick up under the policy. Regarding the direction of fiscal and monetary policies, Ye Fan predicted that the issuance scale of ultra-long-term special government bonds will be around 1.5 trillion -2 trillion yuan in 2025, and it will continue to support the "dual" areas. In the first half of next year or the peak of government bond issuance, there may be a RRR cut for hedging. It is estimated that the RRR cut will be about 100bp for the whole year, and the interest rate cut will be decided by camera. The interest rate cut of 25bp-40bp may be promoted step by step.Ocean Shipping Group: In the first 11 months, it achieved sales of 30.6 billion yuan. On December 12, Ocean Shipping Group (03377.HK) released unaudited operation data. In November, the company achieved an accumulated sales of about 3.73 billion yuan. The agreed sales floor area is about 346,300 square meters; The average agreed sales price is 10,800 yuan per square meter. In the first 11 months of this year, COSCO achieved a cumulative agreed sales of about 30.6 billion yuan; The cumulative agreed floor area is about 2,544,100 square meters; The cumulative average agreed sales price is about 12,000 yuan per square meter.The winning bid rate of China's 2-year treasury bonds was 1.06%, which was 31 basis points lower than last month. The Ministry of Finance of China issued treasury bonds today, and the weighted average winning bid rate of 2-year varieties was 1.06%. The data shows that the bid-winning interest rate is about 31 basis points lower than that when the national debt of the same term was issued in November, the lowest since Bloomberg recorded it in 2004.

Sinotrans set up a new logistics development company in Chongqing with 100 million yuan. According to the enterprise search APP, Sinotrans Southwest (Chongqing) Logistics Development Co., Ltd. was recently established with Zhou Tao as its legal representative and a registered capital of 100 million yuan. Its business scope includes: international freight forwarding by sea; Land international freight forwarding agent; Packaging service; Customs declaration business, etc. Enterprise survey shows that the company is wholly owned by Sinotrans.On the analysis of the daily limit at noon on December 13, the three major indexes fell by more than 1% in half a day, and the AI application side strengthened against the trend. Rishang group has 12 boards in 13 days, and one picture can be understood > >Ye Fan, Southwest Securities: In 2025, the upward trend of domestic economy will continue, and it is estimated that the annual RRR will be lowered by about 100bp. The Central Economic Work Conference will be held in Beijing from December 11th to 12th. Ye Fan, chief economist of Southwest Securities, said that in 2025, the domestic economy will continue to stabilize and upward under the policy. From the structural point of view, infrastructure and manufacturing investment are expected to remain the main support items for domestic investment next year, and the decline in real estate investment will gradually narrow; Domestic demand is expected to play a stronger role in stimulating the economy than external demand, and domestic residents' consumption is expected to continue to pick up under the policy. Regarding the direction of fiscal and monetary policies, Ye Fan predicted that the issuance scale of ultra-long-term special government bonds will be around 1.5 trillion -2 trillion yuan in 2025, and it will continue to support the "dual" areas. In the first half of next year or the peak of government bond issuance, there may be a RRR cut for hedging. It is estimated that the RRR cut will be about 100bp for the whole year, and the interest rate cut will be decided by camera. The interest rate cut of 25bp-40bp may be promoted step by step.

New Beiyang (Thailand) Company opened. According to the news of New Beiyang, on December 12th, the launching ceremony of New Beiyang (Thailand) Company was held in chonburi province, Thailand. This was the first factory established by New Beiyang overseas, which marked another major breakthrough in the company's internationalization strategy and laid a solid foundation for the company's future internationalization development. The park leased by New Beiyang (Thailand) Company covers an area of more than 5,500 square meters in the first phase. At present, the special printing and scanning product line built in the factory has been successfully put into production and is ready to start mass delivery. In the future, the company will continue to expand the production and delivery of some smart equipment products in Thai factories.Hikvision signed a cooperation agreement with many parties to jointly promote the digitalization of fishery scenes. On December 11th, Five units signed the agreement: Donghai Fisheries Research Institute of Chinese Academy of Fishery Sciences (referred to as Donghai Institute), China Institute of Fishery Machinery and Instruments (referred to as Fishing Machinery Institute), China Institute of Fishery Engineering (referred to as Fishery Engineering Institute), Hangzhou Hikvision Digital Technology Co., Ltd. (referred to as Hikvision) and Boyan Technology Co., Ltd. (referred to as Boyan Technology). We will jointly promote the deep integration of scientific research and enterprises, build a joint research platform for scientific and technological innovation driven by "Industry-University-Research", achieve win-win cooperation, and help the layout and rapid development of fishery digital intelligence industry. According to the cooperation agreement, all parties will focus on intelligent breeding, aquaculture, fishing, processing and fishery resources and environmental protection, carry out joint research and industrial application of intelligent equipment, system engineering and data management, and actively carry out talent exchange and technical training by jointly establishing key laboratories, innovation centers, research institutes and other platforms, and jointly declare national, provincial and ministerial projects to enhance the collaborative innovation and application demonstration capacity of digital intelligence fisheries.According to sources, Trump will meet with the widow of former Japanese Prime Minister Shinzo Abe on Sunday.